Sizeable Bali forecast: Rip Curl Cup Padang?
Pack your Fish Ben. Then you've got an excuse. "Oh bugger, shoulda brought the Gun"
Just a quick trip to Bali with the missus (ie not really a surf trip per se).
Ben, I think the models have over cooked them so far this week. Here's been the size in West Java this week
Swell was late to arrive Sunday but then was
Monday ; 8 foot
Tuesday ; 6 foot
Wednesday; 5 foot
Thursday ; 4 foot
Today ; 4 foot
This SSW swell direction this week may have caused a little havoc with the models as it is missing some spots. Last year the SN models were pretty accurate although ofcourse some of the magnets like Gland Ombak Tujuh would probably be bang on with the SN reports this week. Also have done a daily check with the baliwaves and although that bloke Slim undercalls it a little, it seems size wise bang on with what we got here.
For Tuesdays swell not sure if it will get the size. It was 3.2m at 17 secs now down to a peak at 2.7m at 17
I heard a few of the guys have been told to hang around for it to run though so may be the only window.
I arrive in bali on the 12th after 6 weeks of beers and ciggies in europe.. oh dear haha!
thermalben wrote:
Just a quick trip to Bali with the missus (ie not really a surf trip per se).
Take her to Bangko Bangko. She'll love it there.
I will be getting there Tuesday night 5th, annoyed to just miss the peak of the energy on this new swell.
Has it died off for the 12th? wondering if I should be changing flights?
Reecen, I'm holding for only 6-8 foot for Tuesday. Waves only 3-4 foot today and building through tomorrow, so unless you can cheaply change flights, there are good waves all through next two weeks anyway.
Yeah Reece there'll be heaps of waves through Wednesday/Thursday in the 6-8ft range, then a slow easing trend through into the weekend. The Tuesday swell this thread was about has been wound back to 10ft (only!), and shunted forward a day to the Monday.
Cheers guys. Should be fun hopefully the runs of swell have muted the crowds.
Shit! The models have upgraded it back to 12-15ft over the last few days. And pulled it forward a day.
Palms are sweaty.
Loving these WAMS too.
Ben, check out Japan over the next couple of weeks. After this Typhoon passes over us on the weekend your wams indicate another low/typhoon doing the right thing and staying out in the Pacific. If all goes according to plan, late next week is going to be epic here.
Yeah that second system looks great for your region Zen, I'd be starting to froth!
Actually, it's been interesting to see the event organisers get all excited for the Padang Cup over the weekend, regarding a new swell due late yesterday and today.
In my eyes it seemed to be way under the threshold for Padang so I didn't even mention the chances of the comp running, when I started this thread Friday. Our model only had 8ft+ Uluwatu for today, which would ordinarily translate to 3-4ft+ Padang.
Also received a press release from them last night, after they ended up holding an expression session in "smallish, but perfect Padang Padang barrels to the backdrop of a picture perfect sunset".
And then this: "If today was any indication of the performances ahead, then tomorrow’s anticipated swell is sure to provide the perfect canvas for some of the best tuberiders in the world to strut their stuff. With an approaching swell that can already be heard crashing on the outer reef, it looks like Surfline - the official Event forecaster’s patience has paid off. After over 4 weeks of waiting, with waves that have been on the radar for over ten days, the mood here in Bali is electric."
I reckon 3 to 5 foot padang is hollower and more fun than 8 to 10 foot as the inside end bowl gets missed on most bigger days.
It doesnt wrap in as much either on the "proper" big padang days.
Nice to see this swell come in very close to what was forecast 15-16 days out (except the initial forecast was for Tuesday, not Monday).
So not a fan of Chongy (whoever the hell he is?).
I think commentating has hit a new low.
Despite that, some great surfing in some lovely waves for the final.
Great comp, brilliant surfing, pre barrel claims luv em .......
Chongy youre a tool.
Never kept on track with this comp, but just watched some previews.
I know this is an Indo break but why is it all Indo's from quarters to the finals...?
Why do the Indo surfers look like kooks....!, they have the worst pooh stance and when they come out of their pooh stance, they perform such unco-ordinated looking manoeuvre's, arms failing everywhere, etc.
Anyone see the same style...? Or am I drunk...?
chongy short for benchong (lady boy) i reckon a lot of balinese surfers and nusa tengarra surfers rip well explosive and fast surfing. like they swallowed a few ephidrine packets before each surf.
A lot hang in kuta most of the time if its too small for padang and kutas a shitty closeout air wave at most on a good day. That sort of surfing cant be good for style.
Chongy from Piha, West Coast Auckland. Had a dig though. Works in the warehouse Rip Curl, but in Indo when its winter, which in the case of Auckland is most of the year.
Great to see the swell come in needed more West though. Funny how moody Padang was during the whole day....shes a fickle wanita.
Because I'm off to Indo in just over a week's time, I've been watching the long range charts for the last four or five days to see how they'll perform at long range.
When Tues 12th came in to the tail end of the model run it originally had 10-12ft for Uluwatu, but this has slowly been upgraded to a straight 15ft in recent model runs (yikes!).
I haven't looked at the specifics behind what's expected to generate the swell yet but it'll be interesting to see if this forecast holds true for the next week or so. Because if it does - it'll could very well end up being the biggest Indo swell of the season.
As such I'd expect to see some press releases re: Rip Curl Cup at Padang early next week.