The land of the Long White Cloud
Still a long way away Mick - that low north of NZ looks like it'll happen but it could bring a lot of wind and rain to the region. Should clear though within the first few days of the following week so that'd be a good time to capitalise on the East Coast.
Winds look good for the West Coast for the first half of that week too but let's keep an eye on the models (also suggesting a big Raglan swell at the end of the week!).
Ben was thinking Shippies too if it is super big. Really needs a 6m + SW swell for it to get the wrap on.
Mick.... Your timing is perfect..... Ne coast...... Huge...... Gisbourne coast too as the low moves.......
Here's the long range. With offshores predicted looks pretty good.
Jeez Mick, that low developing under Australia and then pushing on to NZ is a monster. If it comes off you can chase huge Shippies and then monster Cloudbreak, one of the biggest swells we've seen in a couple of years if it currently comes off as forecast.
Other models aren't as keen on it, so we'll wait and see.
Wow that ECL low is tight sheepy? Pretty exciting so many set-ups to explore.
Whats the travel time Craig 4-5 days?? If it does come off as forecast, there will be a mass crew flying in. Especially with the worldwide release of Talon's Thundercloud movie and premiere's in the US.
And Shippies is forecasting 8.0m @17 secs for the 4/10, still long way out but.
https://www.swellnet.com/reports/new-zealand/northland/shipwreck-bay/for…
Craig wrote:
Jeez Mick, that low developing under Australia and then pushing on to NZ is a monster. If it comes off you can chase huge Shippies and then monster Cloudbreak, one of the biggest swells we've seen in a couple of years if it currently comes off as forecast.
Other models aren't as keen on it, so we'll wait and see.
Fiji is due though for a big swell hasn't been one all year! Fly in at 9:30am on the Monday so would miss it by a day if tired to chase it....it's popped up on the Fiji forecast though at 3.6m @ 17seconds for the Monday 4th, perfect SSW direction. Considering Iast year it was 2.4m at 16 seconds and was 8-10 with 12 foot wash throughs, then add another metre. Yikes.
Mick.. was just speaking to me best mate, spart the kiwi.... if at the start (29th/30th) of this ecl, it happens to be throwing a north swell or nne swell, let me know.... I'll put you on to one of the best rights in kiwi land.... Mysto break..... Only in North swells or big nne swells....... reef barrel.......
Yes yes!!! Its a tricky one the pure North swells for NZ, there are only a couple of spots that I know truly work. Maybe the first part of the fetch throws out a North swell to begin proceedings.....
I will be based at Mangiwhai Heads if that helps.
Latest updates aren't indicating too much north in the swell at all.
Straighter E/NE for a very brief period and then straight E'ly then E/SE.
Big downgrade on the low and CB swell as well.
Nice looking system for East coasters, October...?
Inzider you should do a road run SE...!
Yeah Craig just seen the fetch nothing from the North.
Welly - wow there will be some crazy lineups next week that's a beast. Its pretty fast moving though.
Will fiji cb get swell from the sw or the ecl ? Sorry i havent studied anything just a dumb question
Camel, I don't know how CB would fare in a SE swell, there would definitely be a se flank off that low to go to Fiji I think.
Craig, 7 days out and Shipwrecks is forecasting 25 feet @17 seconds, with a peak 9.2m.
Mickfree your frothing & now im too . About cloudbreak or any wave created by that storm progged a week out . And yeah the cloudbreak forecast shows swell from both sw & sth angles at various stages . Happy that my question wasnt as dumb afterall . I want to go there , need ticket ...
Ask Inzider Caml....! ;)
I bet he would pick you up at the airport and take you there free of cost inNZer style.
But its not known as a wave the size that you like.
Maybe even get you a jacket to wear with "Crazy Horse" on the back:)
If you watch a NZ film called "Boy" you will understand.
Good luck, Peace out.
Camel, there is a strong SW airflow forecasted over all of NZ when that swell hits so there will be XL waves but no where good. But Cloudbreak on the other hand has low tide Monday morning the 6th with trades. So if that forecast holds that will be the place.
A massive swell wraps into the bay and is offshore in SW wind. Wouldn't be an Xl spot for you Camel, I mean a 9m swell will wrap 6-8 foot at the main point. And checking today its already back down to 7m. There are a few XXL spots along the Northland coastline including a gnasty slab. Problem is winds needed are NE or light.
On the other side Gizzy will have a big day next Wednesday with an off shore bombie for the local crew.
Pretty exciting forecast, best to get Craig to have a closer look.
Not much on that link but thats ok . I aint goin nowhere . Wouldnt mind trying cloudbreak ( Big )
Sent a oz cobber up to shippes a few months back and he scored it the best its been in 5 years (local call)
He was fizzing at the bung to say the least. I reckon that low off east will possibly have good waves down david greys local . Maybe some coromental action in the loop too. Naki is 100kmh SE today, good luck in ya quest.
Welly , what about your why ra rapper jem that rimes with shit? winds not too flash
Here's the Shippies forecast......whats amazing was that the SN models picked this swell up last Wednesday 4-6m then kicked it up Thursday 8m and Friday to 9m, then downgraded it Saturday and now she is back to 9m+. The entire Western Coast of New Zealand will be awash with onshore WSW winds with only a few sheltered places surfable.
Yeah ? So why are u allowed to mention this shipwrecks place but not other frozen shark colonies ?
Good point caml. The unmentionable spot is a shark infested, isloated, huge wave at the bottom of the South Island whereas Shippies is within driving distance of NZ's biggest city and relatively easy to surf and even easier to score with advanced forecasting. Maybe he doesn't have any mates who live up that way?
Saying the word shippies after someone prior had put a web link detailing location is hardly being hypocritical. However the last fatality via GW was just north of Auckland last summer. There are many varieties that breed in the north. Noah is lurking everywhere. With our west coast dirty water you just dont see them very often, kind like loud mouth ozzies. Generally only GC skippies will be found around the coast I surf. Thankfully.
Righto I removed the link to the spot. Sorry if I have offended viewers disclosing the location. I'm pretty sure it's like disclosing the Snapper is the spot to go to in SE wind, anyway move on.
Yes and downgrade to 7.5m for the West Coast. NE coasts on the build options aplenty.
@mick-free
I wouldn't worry about it, everyone I know has been there and every surfer in NZ knows exactly where it is, for most it's not easy to get because a. you need that swell b. you need the right wind (this is West Coast NZ not a ballooners paradise) c. you need to get there (it's a long way from most)
No wave of that quality is going to stay secret for long, especially in place like NZ. I think I know of or at least could ask someone about most of the supposed secret spots in NZ but reality is most are super fickle or a real mission to get to on the particular day you need to get there.
Some of my fellow countrymen have a bit of an insular outlook about how much everyone else gives a shit about their little secret but in reality there are very few places that a traveler with the right attitude will have a problem. I think the worst stretch for angry locals would be places on the cape and maybe Hawkes Bay/Argentina, what?
Mick, that secret cluster of righthanders I wrote to you about is currently 8 foot plus. and off it's fuckn nut.... Shame you couldn't get there, "bro"..... ;)
Don't worry about Mick, he's been scoring 8-10ft freight train lefts, WOTD to come over the coming days :D
Seen em' craig..... I'm in the loop ..... Oh, btw , 6 to 8 where he is........That spot is a bit sheltered..... ;p
wellymon wrote:
Ask Inzider Caml....! ;)
I bet he would pick you up at the airport and take you there free of cost inNZer style.
But its not known as a wave the size that you like.
Maybe even get you a jacket to wear with "Crazy Horse" on the back:)
If you watch a NZ film called "Boy" you will understand.
Good luck, Peace out.
"How was Japan ? "
" I rooted Chardonnay"
Mean as movie Welly.
Blowin Classic
"Shogun" His Hero.
I only watched "Boy" offshore a week ago, Geez that brought back memories growing up as a young fella in the early 70's
My best mates were Maori descent from the "PA" a bike ride away, called Hongeka Bay, and a very fickle right hander that broke occasionally.
These times were memories that I will never forget and so true to the viewing of "Boy" but a little harder in a way....!
wow what a day....arms are gone. Full cyclone style surf, close periods, non stop waves. Stayed same size all day 6-8 foot with the seldom 10 footer with the biggest set of waves on dark. In the lineup it looked like Cloudbreak out there today. The Mount was out of control same for Whanga Bar and Tairoa I heard was 10 foot. A few secluded spots were off tits. and geez Sheepy that spot would have been crazy. What's the call for tomorrow - dropping fast?
@mick-free Where'd you surf? I saw some pics of the Mount but couldn't tell how big it was. Sad news a 5yo washed off the beach around the side of the Mount, lost at sea.
I've seen the Mt go from 10ft to lake flat over night in the past. Geez if you could get Whanga at the 4-5ft mark you'd be happy.
Heard whanga too big but a similar named break close by was all time. Just watched news - WTF is going on that someone would let the kid into the water?
Surfed a different bar morning and evening. Here's a shot, you will recognise the rock.
Either head up to Northland east coast which will catch remnants.... Or Gisbourne coast - pumping.... or 3rd option - rest arms for shippys ;)
That paddle looks fun. I've never surfed that particular wave but have seen pics of it looking good, looks solid in your pic. I think I know where you mean that sounds like Whanga and yeah it would have been pumping, the locals love it when half the Mount turn up there.
Cheers yocal, heard it got this good, but never actually been back home when its been that good. Will post a couple more but got to go fishing
Got a week at home for school holidays in Northland NZ, current long range models have a 4-6m SW Swell for West Coast 3rd and 4th October and a very rare 3m east swell for 30th Sep - 1st Oct. The East Coast have some incredible set-ups that lay dormant for sometimes years. Its moved around a fair bit the last two days but interested in opinions, WAMS looking pretty tasty - what do you reckon??