Early Forecast: 2025 Vivo Rio Pro
Rio Pro, 2025
June 21st - 29th
All times are local.
Australia is 13 hours ahead: 9pm Saturday here is 8am Saturday in Rio.
Once again, we’ve got a quick turnaround between CT stops. There's just five days between Trestles and Brazil, with the waiting period for the Vivo Rio Pro set to kick off this Saturday, running through until the following Sunday.
However, we’re unlikely to see competition get underway this weekend thanks to the lack of any notable swell. Saquarema will be small out of the east on Saturday and then a touch bigger from the south on both Sunday and Monday.
With just three days needed for competition, the WSL can afford to be picky so they'll have their sights on the middle to end of the waiting period, which looks much more active. That corresponds with the middle to end of next week when a series of strong frontal systems spawn off the Argentinian coast, spinning around a large, slow moving Southern Ocean gyre.
Each of these frontal systems will generate moderate to large pulses of south-southwesterly swell from Wednesday through Friday, easing a little into the weekend.
The first will generate an expansive fetch of south-west gales that will push up towards southern Brazil through Monday, with the swell due to build into Tuesday afternoon albeit with onshore winds. Wednesday looks a better option with wave size peaking around 6 foot, replete with light variable winds ahead of afternoon sea breezes.
A secondary, reinforcing pulse of south-southwest groundswell is due on Thursday to 4-6 foot, generated by further strong to gale-force south-west winds off Argentina. Again, local winds at Saquarema look great through the morning, offshore out of the north-northeast, before strengthening out of the east into the afternoon.
Friday appears similar with light early winds giving way to sea breezes and the swell easing further. Those three days - Wednesday, Thursday, Friday - will likely be the three likely competition days.
If, however, any of those days fails to deliver the WSL has a contingency plan with a secondary surge of gales due later next week. They'll produce a less consistent though moderate-sized south-southwest groundswell for next weekend. At this point, size appears to peak around 4-6 feet on Sunday, though winds are too hard to decipher. With the storm staying at arm's length from Brazil, the inclination is to think we'll have favourable morning conditions, though we’ll have a closer look at the exact timings and sizes of the incoming swell pulses in the next update.
Comments
fingers crossed we get a similar comp to whichever it was that gave us funneling right hand tubes down one end and a long ripping left in the other end (if my memory serves?)
Don't think they go to Barrinha - the right - anymore. They've never said outright that they're no longer mobile but they've stayed put during otherwise classic days down there.
That one was Epic.
But I think now they just stay in the backwash at the other end.
wasn't it awesome? i loved it. hopefully we get some juice this comp!
"The first will generate an expensive fetch of south-west gales"
Expansive perhaps....
Ha. Indeed.
That was pretty awesome, getty jiggy with the english.
Huey's coming to the Rio party, yew
Thx Craigos, (Is that the same weather system which sent swell to Trestles?)
Two events from one swell. Go the Wozzle!
Yago’s a machine out there, furthermore with good conditions, he’ll be soaring . Someone needs to clip his wings
Brazilians may score frequent flyers points.
Hope its good party weather for everyone else.
Do you reckon the Brazilians feel for Australian comps the way most Aussies feel toward Saquerema?
I reckon they are hardwired to victimise themselves and whinge about anything no matter what. Take a look at the wild card post on the wozzles IG. Major blow ups despite all of them being Brazilian. It’s a legitimate tantrum from them every single time
What’s with the wildcard?
Indeed, I agree Brazilians are hardwired to victimise themselves. But I also argue Aussies are hardwired to emphasise Brazilian complaints. And hardwired to complain about Brazilian airs. And hardwired to complain about Brazilian claims. If others do those things, it's all nice and normal. But when Brazilians do it, it is a drama.
I am pretty sure this comment of mine is just my hardwired perception, which I have but can't see!
Hardwired seems an overused term. You think?
Haha, totally!
No. Australia has some magical spots (which Brazilians enjoy very much) like Snapper, Bells and Margs. If you start including Narrabeen, Newcastle, etc., then the quality will be just as average as Brazil's. Saquarema and many other spots can be epic on their days (just like Narrabeen and NC), but you have to be lucky to get those days in comp windows.
All spots are great, now and again
Just seems most core viewers want epic/ heavy / gnarly waves...
Which is why saq should probably just decide the changa ...
6 foot? looking like a good playing field. hopefully there's a couple of banks and the backwash monster is subdued.
The only time this comp was good was when they had it on the right at the other end of the beach that seems like they won’t go back to
They have a decent looking coastline surely there are better waves over there other than this shithouse backwashy beachy move it or get ride of it suckarammer sux everyone hates it !!!
Just can't get any froth over this stop. Right up there with Portugal as the worst stop on the tour. One turn closeouts aren't exciting at all
Hoping if it's actually 6ft, that it's too big for it to be just an air fest.
If Kelly was granted a wild card to saq...would he take it?
"Tree falling in the woods No one around to hear it ?"
Any forecast of the wildcards?? would love to see a G. Medina sneak into the draw
2 Brazilians.
Peterson Crisanto
Gabriel Klaussner
The Brazilian high pressure system !
Can't wait for J-Bay...
Aside from a bit of home town atmosphere, I can’t imagine there’s an athlete on tour that rates Saq as a place that suits their style or somewhere they ‘should’ do well at…….maybe the full on air guys?
I’d rate my odds on a ticket in a dream-home lotto over that weird backwashy excuse for a beach break.
New
Sus
uuummm
Top of the pops
Interesting comments from some Brazilians in regards to the wild cards
Certainly impressed by Joao’s vocabulary “meritocracy “ not oft used in surfer speak… watch out FR
The wonders of AI eh?
Or FR has taken up a gig as IG ghost poster to the pro’s for a modest fee
What’s being said? Are there more deserving wildcards out there?
Chianca wrote he “ was bored with Tati and Peterson “ and other higher profile Brazilian pros have weighed in with similar
I saw this and thought it was maybe a weird translation. His issue didn't seem to be with Peterson and Tati, but rather the other male Brazilian wildcard who wasn't a local and seems a bit of an unknown(maybe a sponsor's pick?).
Chianca being a local there must feel there’s deserving local rippers who have been dudded……………where are the non-Hawaiian Brazilian women surfers?
Meanwhile around the corner, surfing is pumping while the WSL commercial media spot is blown out.
Cooking!
We'll likely see them run today with easing, cleaner surf compared to yesterday's large, onshore energy with the next run day likely to be Sunday as a new S/SW groundswell fills in to 4-6ft under light winds.
Not quite around the corner...
They should have definitely gone there.
The tour definitely needs more right hand point breaks.