The Eddie Goes On Green Alert

Stu Nettle (stunet)
Swellnet Dispatch

Update: Contest Director Liam Macnamara has put the Eddie Aikau Invitational on green alert, meaning it'll definitely run. Start time still to be announced - it'll depend on what time the incoming swell hits - but sometime on the morning of Sunday 22/12. Monday Australian time.

The photos from the opening ceremony are still doing the social media rounds, meanwhile, the organisers of the Eddie Aikau Big Wave Invitational are preparing for an early party.

The North Shore has been indulged by a solid run of north-west energy with one spike, due to hit this Sunday 22nd December - Monday Australian time - expected to cross the Eddie threshhold of 20'. With it, the organisers have issued a yellow alert

Current models have the swell undersized at first light but ramping quickly northwards for a midday/afternoon peak. Winds at this stage appear to be light nor'east.

The waiting period for The Eddie opened last Friday, December 13, 2024 and runs through to March 13, 2025.

Luke Shepardson winning the 2023 edition of the Eddie (Matheus Pacheco)

The last Eddie winner was local North Shore lifeguard Luke Shepardson, who won it in 2023. Sheppardson was just the tenth winner in the forty years since the Eddie was first held.

Comments

Matb Thursday, 19 Dec 2024 at 08:11 pm new

Reckon they’ll run it Stu forecast looks pretty good ?

stunet Thursday, 19 Dec 2024 at 08:19 pm new

A cursory look at the forecast looks good, though they'd really wanna hope it arrives on time as any later they'll be in trouble getting it done for the day.

Craig's been paying more attention to recent patterns in the N Pac so maybe he'll weigh in here.

Craig Thursday, 19 Dec 2024 at 09:16 pm new

Yep I reckon they'll pull the trigger and run if they're going on yellow, as there isn't likely to be a downgrade from here. If it weakens a touch it will put the arrival back a bit further in time and more so mid-late morning.

Right now there should be strong sets arriving shortly after dawn, though strongest from mid-morning and peaking into the afternoon.

The main issue for me is how north the swell will be and the longer-period nature of it which isn't ideal.

In saying this, surrounding the core hurricane-force winds is quite a significant fetch of strong to gale-force winds and this will help pad out any long-period sets that may get steered away.

I'd expect bay closeouts.

nextswell Thursday, 19 Dec 2024 at 09:17 pm new

You bloody beauty. Saw the forecast 3 days ago and have been waiting a call. Let’s hope the stars align.

bbbird Thursday, 19 Dec 2024 at 09:50 pm new

A warm up session
https://www.windy.com/-Waves-waves?waves,21.626,-158.048,14,m:ehfaLI
were 21 hrs ahead of Hawaiian time .... they have 3hrs of sun before the east coast of Oz

mikehunt207 Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 09:07 am new

Saw big wave Flick in Coles yesterday
A long way from Da Bay

stunet Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 09:25 am new

Should be a slam dunk for size, but local wind and arrival time need to both co-operate. Watching it closer now and those two factors are gonna be the things on the organisers' minds.

stunet Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 09:32 am new

Surfalot67 Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 11:33 am new

Pretentious? Maybe he meant prestigious

peabo Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 09:51 am new

Go bog or go home

bocirl Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 08:30 pm new

Classic!

billie Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 07:30 pm new

Whoops! Glad you figured that out. I was confused.

Arnold Horshack Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 10:02 am new

Where can we watch it?

stunet Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 10:16 am new

Rip Curl's YouTube channel. We'll see if we can embed it on Swellnet.

Arnold Horshack Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 10:50 am new

Thanks Stu

freeride76 Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 10:06 am new

Gunna be interesting to see if it goes.

Doesn't look like a classic Eddie swell- fetch looks better positioned for NorCal, making direction and period a bit weird for Waimea.

Want it more more W, shorter period, so closer range storm.

And timing of peak could be a bit iffy as well.

We'll see.

Craig Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 11:17 am new

Yep, agree with all of that, I was surprised they went yellow but with no change to the incoming storm, they'll probably go green if they were happy with the original outlook.

Patrick Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 03:19 pm new

I'm used to hoping for longer periods every time I go surfing.
What is the period for this swell and why would a shorter period be better?

Craig Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 09:02 am new

The longer period energy focusses the swell more onto the outer reefs and takes away the size from Waimea.

Island Bay Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 12:20 pm new

Storm motion not lining up nicely with direction of fetch, but holy smokes you wouldn't want to be steaming west into its path.

Craig Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 01:25 pm new

The scope of the storm should override this somewhat, just not ideal for Waimea. The Hawaiian Islands are going to be crazy Sunday afternoon, can't wait to see what comes out of Peahi. Have to be 80ft.

Then as you mention.. Mavericks...

udo Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 04:58 pm new

Up the Playback to x2

stunet Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 04:58 pm new

Think the first wave is Aaron Gold's XXL winner?

If so, olde footage.

udo Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 05:13 pm new

Hmm i wasnt Sure ..

udo Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 01:58 pm new
derra83 Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 05:33 pm new

Even when Liam's being nice he still looks like he's gonna drop in then punch your fins out.

crg Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 01:13 pm new

I had the displeasure of sharing a G-Land trip with him and his family one year...what a fuckwit. Before he even entered the line up half the camp wanted to punch him in the face...the way he spoke to the locals and staff was disgraceful.
Got in the water and it was even worse...paddling around like he was at home in Hawaii...ironically took a Brazilian jujitsu monster to pull him into line.

StayAtHome Friday, 20 Dec 2024 at 04:23 pm new

goosebumps in advance

udo Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 05:52 am new
southernraw Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 08:44 am new

Unconvincing green..

Sprout Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 11:34 am new
Standingleft Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 02:18 pm new

Is Shepardson rostered on again?

basesix Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 02:35 pm new

yep, along with slater, long, florence, irons and RCJ, wins spanning 23 years.
https://www.theeddieaikau.com/#Invitational

Standingleft Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 03:17 pm new

He had lifeguard shifts last time. Was sitting in the tower watching kooks get hammered in the shorebreak and every swell that came through.
I'm wondering if he'll change his winning approach? Soaking up the atmosphere on the beach with RCJ looks like fun too but not the single minded preparation from previous

basesix Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 03:46 pm new

ah, rostered on the beach, I get you.

southernraw Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 09:36 pm new

That low is zipping along pretty fast West to East. Hard to imagine them getting a whole day out of it. Looks like massive long period sets filling in through the day from its core but not alot in between. Interesting call to go green. Will be interesting to see how it plays out. I'm still skeptical they'll run.

southernraw Saturday, 21 Dec 2024 at 10:56 pm new

Actually scratch that. I was looking at the map from somewhere near Mars. On second and a closer glance, there's plenty going on to the SW of the low to keep that swell pulsing in. Hope so!

Lanky Dean Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 12:39 am new

Well this came as a slight surprise, guess there's some big wave surfers who will be having Christmas in Hawaii.
Best of luck to all the competitors.
At this point I really enjoy big wave surfing from the couch .

Joshy2000 Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:20 am new

Is it on? I can’t find it on YouTube.

thermalben Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:33 am new

Sunday local. So, tomorrow.

Joshy2000 Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:47 am new

Cheers Ben

dawnperiscope Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:42 am new

Ahhhhh

Jono Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 09:49 am new

Love watching this comp, always entertaining. Feel like they should ban the floaty vests though, seems to take the danger away if they can just bob around like corks after a 5 second hold down.

rooftop Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 01:38 pm new

I don't see how the comp would be improved by people drowning.

Jono Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 09:11 pm new

Jeez I don't want anybody to die, just a bit less floaty.

udo Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 09:59 am new
Supafreak Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 02:20 pm new

Kai Lenny & others talking this swell up , possibly bigger than last year .

southernraw Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 02:20 pm new

Sentimentally hoping for a RCJ win to bookend his career with a second Eddie.
Probably N Florence's to lose though with the roll that he's on.

goofyfoot Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 02:37 pm new

Russ Bierke for me.

southernraw Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 02:57 pm new

Great call. That was almost my first choice Goofy.

goofyfoot Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 04:36 pm new

He’s got the skills to actually surf it across the face a bit more I reckon. Like JJF.
And pull in if a hollow one pops up.

In saying that I reckon Mark Healey would be a very deserving winner

Island Bay Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:01 pm new

Would love to see Healey or Russel B win it. Or Matt Bromley as the underdog.

southernraw Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:13 pm new

Agreed @goofy and @IB. Healey was unlucky last time not to win it (although Shepardson was ultimately the most deserving) and he was my pick last event to win it.
Keep in mind, this time tomorrow, there's also a possibility we might be celebrating Laura Enever as the 2024 Eddie champion. Wouldn't that be something else. You know she's gonna go for it.
Ya never know!!
The Bay calls the day and the champion.

Parko_70 Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 02:43 pm new

Apparently with the storm, the biggest wave height readings in 25 years of forecasting from that part of the pacific, its mainly aimed for West Coast of America, but the proximity of the fetch, the sideband energy should still be really huge. If anything like the last Eddie, well wow!!. Frothing to watch it, and the Westcoast of America a day or 2 later should be a really special Xmas for the chargers over there.

udo Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 03:35 pm new

Wait your Fucken Turn Tow Boys

Sprout Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 03:55 pm new

Fucken oath!!

Standingleft Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 04:08 pm new

noodle armed choirboys

Craig Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 09:03 pm new

Epic!

Major kong Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 04:26 pm new

Still looking like rip curl YouTube channel will broadcast the comp?? Also anyone got a rough idea or wanna take a guess about what time they'll kick off tomorrow morning..5-6am ACST???

basesix Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 05:06 pm new

Their sunrise is at 7am local time, which is 4am in nsw/vic/tas, 3am in qld, 3:30 in sa, 1am in wa.. I think..

southernraw Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:18 pm new

And apparently there's another site called roguetv that's broadcasting it, but i can't actually find their homepage.

wally Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:21 pm new

From what I can read, all going well, the telecast will start at 7.55am Sunday Hawaiian time for an 8 a.m. event start,
So 4:55 am in nsw/vic/tas, 3:55 in qld, 4.25 in sa, 1:55 in wa.

southernraw Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:34 pm new

1.55!!!???
Geeeez THANKS Wally!! haha
Nah seriously, cheers. Gonna be an early night for me!

velocityjohnno Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 06:16 pm new

A live feed of today (Aus Sunday):

Sheep go to heaven Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 07:46 pm new

Watching a bit of that , looks like it might be one place in Hawaii you can drop in and not get your head punched in ??

Jono Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 07:13 pm new

JJF threading a medium sized barrel in the warm up...
https://i.imgur.com/Yw6y2tZ.png

Craig Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 09:39 pm new

Swell has just hit the 51101 buoy north-west of the islands..

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_wave.php?station=51101&meas=swpd&uom=E&time_diff=-10&time_label=HAST

Travel time from there to Hawaii at 21s = 8 hours. So should be there around 9am.

southernraw Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 10:02 pm new

Whoa! 21 seconds. That's serious!

Lanky Dean Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 12:43 am new

what height was it reading?

Remigogo Sunday, 22 Dec 2024 at 10:30 pm new

Geez... Show us ya spike!

Sprout Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 03:53 am new
Sprout Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 04:09 am new
Lanky Dean Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 05:10 am new

Good morning all ! Looks like I'll be commenting here

Lanky Dean Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 05:18 am new

9 am hawaii time start

Island Bay Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 05:18 am new

9am Hawaii time start. That means another 45min of Kaipo babbling

southernraw Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 05:22 am new

haha. Not an ideal thing to wake up and listen to at 2am IB!

thermalben Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 05:22 am new
Sprout Monday, 23 Dec 2024 at 05:23 am new

Wassel looks like he's wearing a float vest.