COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster

Craig started the topic in Wednesday, 18 Mar 2020 at 07:44 pm

I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..

There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia

burleigh Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 08:25 pm new

Vic Local wrote:

OK champ,

I gave you the opinion of a professor who is an ICU specialist, but you (a fucking nobody who thinks vaccines don't work) knows better than the guy who's studied this shit all his adult life.

Fuck off Burleigh. get in the bin.

You shared a month old old link. ICU changes everyday mate, you want to be taken seriously share current numbers.

The link also says that other we’re not classed as fully jabbed (even though they were)

You’re a fear mongering peanut, you need help

Robo Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 08:36 pm new

bluediamond wrote:

Haaaaaaa Haaaaaaa BD

What a fucking humiliation. Christ you are embarrassing.

And you reckon all those adverse effect reports coming into the TGA might not have been compromised by the batshit crazy anti-vax mob? 3154 people have reported "malaise" after getting the jab. Who the fuck would do that? Not fucking sane people. Fucking sooks would though.

Do you seriously think 700 + people have died from the Vaccine? Fuck me, that's one hell of a cover up. I suppose the doctors are all in on silencing the reason for all these people dying.

Just stop it BD. You're just embarrassing yourself now.

It's getting harder and harder to communicate with you.
Here, this is YOUR trusted news source reporting 79,000...via the government


I was mocked and ridiculed when i posted the links to this website in September for exactly what you wrote, but it turns out, even the government is in agreement with me.
So if there's 700 cases of death reported on there.....will the government come clean on them too??
Thoughts VL> This isn't a popularity contest or trying to out do someone. I'm genuinely concerned about what these vaccines are doing to people.

Wow there is a main stream media story you don’t see, finally owning up.

Vic Local Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 08:41 pm new

burleigh wrote:

OK champ,

I gave you the opinion of a professor who is an ICU specialist, but you (a fucking nobody who thinks vaccines don't work) knows better than the guy who's studied this shit all his adult life.

Fuck off Burleigh. get in the bin.

You shared a month old old link. ICU changes everyday mate, you want to be taken seriously share current numbers.

The link also says that other we’re not classed as fully jabbed (even though they were)

You’re a fear mongering peanut, you need help

Seriously burleigh you are that fucking stupid, the only reason why I respond to you is to stop others believing in your absolute anti-vax bullshit.

You sooked about my link about unvaccinated people being over-represented in hospitals because it was a few months old. I gave you a more recent link which was 3 weeks old. You still sooked. So here's another one that is only a couple of days old. https://www.sbs.com.au/news/nsw-covid-19-hospitalisations-pass-1-000-as…
From the link "Despite comprising about six per cent of the population, unvaccinated people make up the majority of those in intensive care, Health Minister Brad Hazzard says."
The thing is with anti-vaxxer cult fuckwits is, they are immune to evidence. They are neck deep in their own bullshit, rock solid evidence doesn't change their minds.
I'm sure Burleigh will find another reason why all these expert are wrong, and he is right because he did some resurch on YouTube. What a fucking clown.

Vic Local Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 08:49 pm new

Seriously robo, how stupid are you.
Those 700 deaths didn't actually occur. 700 people reported deaths due to the vaccine. It's a self reporting scheme which has been compromised by anti-vaxxer fuckwits. It doesn't mean 700 people died.
robo. Tell us exactly who was involved in covering up all these deaths? Was it the same people who covered up the pedo ring operating out of a Washington pizza shop.
This is tin foil hat shit writ large.

burleigh Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 08:51 pm new

Vic Local wrote:

OK champ,

I gave you the opinion of a professor who is an ICU specialist, but you (a fucking nobody who thinks vaccines don't work) knows better than the guy who's studied this shit all his adult life.

Fuck off Burleigh. get in the bin.

You shared a month old old link. ICU changes everyday mate, you want to be taken seriously share current numbers.

The link also says that other we’re not classed as fully jabbed (even though they were)

You’re a fear mongering peanut, you need help

Seriously burleigh you are that fucking stupid, the only reason why I respond to you is to stop others believing in your absolute anti-vax bullshit.

You sooked about my link about unvaccinated people being over-represented in hospitals because it was a few months old. I gave you a more recent link which was 3 weeks old. You still sooked. So here's another one that is only a couple of days old. https://www.sbs.com.au/news/nsw-covid-19-hospitalisations-pass-1-000-as…
From the link "Despite comprising about six per cent of the population, unvaccinated people make up the majority of those in intensive care, Health Minister Brad Hazzard says."
The thing is with anti-vaxxer cult fuckwits is, they are immune to evidence. They are neck deep in their own bullshit, rock solid evidence doesn't change their minds.
I'm sure Burleigh will find another reason why all these expert are wrong, and he is right because he did some resurch on YouTube. What a fucking clown.

You’ve gone from 94% to “majority” which could be as low as 51% thanks for your honestly.

What’s the age of these unvaccinated in ICU? Or do we have to guess?

And finally are they in ICU because of Covid or with Covid?
We all know the massive con job these experts have been peddling with hospital numbers.

Finally you still haven’t mentioned your experts that say get vaccinated to protect others and your community? Do you think they should keep this up?

Indopeno Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 08:52 pm new

The vaccines were highly effective until o
micron developed

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:03 pm new

No reply to my post VL? I posted your trusted news source, your trusted government and your trusted government website. I can't give you any more credible sources than that? So your thoughts on those numbers and the possibility the deaths on that website may also be something to consider? (considering it's all government information i'm passing on).

Vic Local Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:27 pm new

Oh FFS blue diamond. Stop being a complete moron. That website you are relying on is simply a database of alleged side effects of vaccines. It doesn’t mean they actually happen. Most of those side effects are fucking hilarious too. “Malaise”. “Tiredness” “swelling”. . I could claim that a relative or friend died from the vaccine tomorrow and the alleged death count would go up by one. It doesn’t mean someone actually died you fucking moron.
This class action lawsuit will have a shit load of anti vax fucknuckles signing on. There’s been a tiny number of people who have had bad side effects including a handful of deaths. This 79,000 figure is just pure anti vax bullshit. Genuine people deserve to be looked after, but the anti vax cunts looking for a tax payer funded payout can go fuck themselves. .

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:39 pm new

@viclocal said ". This 79,000 figure is just pure anti vax bullshit. Genuine people deserve to be looked after, but the anti vax cunts looking for a tax payer funded payout can go fuck themselves. ."
Firstly, your vile language and inability to mount a reasoned and considered debate shows it's pointless actually engaging with you. Who needs that!!??
Secondly, your above statement is YOUR opinion, not based on any fact at all. I've given you all your favourite sources, yet you completely draw a blank in a proper response, except more swearing and insults. You know what they say about someone that swears alot instead of using articulate words though eh? ;)

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:41 pm new

Oh and one more thing. I'd like to see you say that to the face of someone who's lost a family member to vaccine injury and/or had someone who's lives have been affected forever by it. Disgraceful. Absolutely disgraceful and shows you have a clear agenda on here.

goofyfoot Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:42 pm new

“ You know what they say about someone that swears alot instead of using articulate words though eh? ;)”

They’re dumb cunts?

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:43 pm new

Government website says 90, 000
Government says through media 70,000 (fair enough, adjusted numbers)
VicLocal says: Bullshit bullshit, fuck piss shit anti vaxxxxxx arghhhhh!!

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:43 pm new

GF that was used on Roadkill as a pure reference to him in response to his snide attacks on me, similar to others on here. ;-)

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 09:45 pm new

And while you're here GF, instead of changing the course of the convo, how about actually contributing to it?? What's your thoughts on the above statistics, and numbers provided by the government. Wanna add to the conversation or just take little pot shots?

goofyfoot Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:06 pm new

Wow bd, bit sensitive tonight?

It was a light hearted dig at VL because every second word is fucken , cun&@, stupid, loser blah blah blah.

But hey if you feel like being offended I’m not going to stop you.
Back at it lads! Carry on!

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:13 pm new

I thought you were having a go at me for using the c$nt word just the once yesterday at RK. Yes a bit sensitive indeed in this current climate...and been a big day putting up with the above tirade! Surfs been terrible too.
Sincere apologies GF.

burleigh Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:15 pm new

Great to see Novax Djokovic got an exemption to come to Aus. Hahahaha
VicMorons worst nightmare coming true, the dirty unvaccinated are coming to Vic

Unvaccinated should never have been banned, but it goes to show the corruption involved.

Supafreak Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:14 pm new
goofyfoot Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:19 pm new

bluediamond wrote:

I thought you were having a go at me for using the c$nt word just the once yesterday at RK. Yes a bit sensitive indeed in this current climate...and been a big day putting up with the above tirade! Surfs been terrible too.

Sincere apologies GF.

All good! It’s been a big day of back and forth on this thread.
I’m still trying to digest roadkills post about the unvaccinated being responsible for a relatives death… you know the one.
Fucking madness.

Have a good one

bluediamond Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:20 pm new

@supafreak and @burleigh. haha. Gold!
haha. Yep Goofyfoot. I know the one. Waiting too.

goofyfoot Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:24 pm new

burleigh wrote:

Great to see Novax Djokovic got an exemption to come to Aus. Hahahaha

VicMorons worst nightmare coming true, the dirty unvaccinated are coming to Vic

Unvaccinated should never have been banned, but it goes to show the corruption involved.

https://www.instagram.com/p/CYTe9fer_1K/?utm_medium=copy_link

Just goes to show how unfair this whole shit show is. Money talks eh. This really doesn’t sit well with me.
People can’t travel interstate to see dying relatives, or enter Oz, but guys like this do whatever the fuck they want.
Kick in the guts for the regular joe

zenagain Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:27 pm new

Precisely Goof.

X 2

lostdoggy Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:28 pm new

Looking forward to Dan’s explanation on the Novak exemption or he’s been overruled further up the chain?

lostdoggy Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:31 pm new

Surely will set a precedent for everyone else (or at least recovered +ves with a certain level of antibodies) if it is as it appears?

goofyfoot Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 10:31 pm new

Your situation was the first thing I thought of zen. It sucks

truebluebasher Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 11:43 pm new

Sept-Dec 2021 UK Adult Death Rates by Groups. (100% UK Full Vax = 52,623,464 People)
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-vaccine-weekly-surv…

5th Sept (597) of 35.4% Non Vaxed= 1 / 32, 204.5 die from Covid
19th Dec (779) of 31.8% Non Vaxed = 1 / 21, 502.14 die from Covid > (33.33% rate increase)

5th Sept (1756) of 64.6% (1/2) Vaxed pop = 1 / 19, 377.60 die from Covid
12th Dec (2139) of 68.2% (1/2) Vaxed pop = 1 / 16, 794.44 die from Covid (13.33% rate increase)

5th Sept (1906) of 58.2% Full Vaxed pop = 1 / 16, 056.29 die from Covid
12 Dec (2795) of 62.6% Full Vaxed pop = 1 / 11, 797.35 die from Covid (26.53% rate increase%)

Clearly the Death Rate is 2x higher amongst the Vaccinated...but that's not the whole story!
Q: Why is Full Vax Death rate slowing as to No Vax? (Excellent Question!)
It's not so much as slowing but Vaxerz are restoring immunity to natural state of hesitant being.
In other words, as Vax wanes, immunity naturally restores to the lesser Hesitant Death Rate..

Part of the answer lies in why unvaxed are mopping up Covid while Vaxed are spraying it worldwide!
NSW / Vic > 20-70% Vaxed 26 Postcodes share just 30 cases of Covid between the lot.
NSW / Vic > 70-95% Vaxed all other Postcodes push out 37,120 cases of Covid / day (That's right!)
Experts Mandate 3x WR super spreading VIP 80-95% vaxed....(tnorf 2 kcab).

With each VOC the original Vax loses ability to fight off new trix ...(Huh! Isn't that bad?) Well!
No! It's great when the local upstart VOC is clumsy & leaves the back door open...
This means the Fully Vaccinated innate immunity is now restoring to full power to chase it out.
Recall! Vax has worsening innate protection...hence the situation we're in! So! Nothing lost there! Right!

While VOC fools yer Wuhan Flu Shot your innate immunity naturally kicks in to mop up the dregz!
Now the virus...is up against a multitude of ever ready most capable antibodies...WTF It's a trap!

The boosters will suppress natural reemerging broad spectrum immunity that fight Wild Omicron.
Vaxerz will stall any learned innate Omicron immunity for another round of Wuhan Flu Cough Drops.
Only this time some Jabz are gonna push the virus to arc up again...some say with a clever trick?
Pandemic goes 'round 'n' round again...more Vax sales! Keep this going forever & that's their plan!

All can see that Vax lively hood is fine with Vax wane...as all said...less deaths! For how long!
Boosters are most likely why we see this slight pre Xmas / New Year kick in Vaxed deaths...
None can be sure as Vax Wane / Omicron Booster is piggy backing Delta Loops as a jump start.
Kinda like a stasis / line ...We see this Drop in deaths but they are hooking a dodgy boost spike.

As to why Natural 'Death rate' is rising in UK.
Not so long ago from Freedom Day+Vax reductions onward it was falling with cases real fast...
Crew might recall soon after the Delta+....coincided with mass teen Vax Ramp / Covid youth outbreak

Some ages carry on into the lower Adult Groups.
tbb pointed to UK WHO report of 100,000s of unlisted Vax cases flipping 100,000s Unvaxed cases?
Just saying these stats may wildly corrupt lower age deaths, but usually of lesser numbers.
UK family households have a far greater junior < > senior demographic than Oz! ...So there's that!
tbb seldom counts the Youth stats due to a host of cross corruptions, but they do impact on Adult data.

If Vaxers keep Vaxing / Boosting then Hesitant death rate will keep increasing with Omicron more so!
It seems, we're all gonna lose...

tbb was asked to share Geert's Vidz..they clearly explain why we're in this mess & how to sort it!
Yeah! Huge problem, as very few, if any world leaders want this party to end.
https://www.voiceforscienceandsolidarity.org/

truebluebasher Tuesday, 4 Jan 2022 at 11:59 pm new

PS: UK (1/2) Vaxed Death Rates are oddly lower for a an obvious reason...
Because of the set time frame between Doses lessens the overall Full Vax = open Time frame
tbb included it for Vaccine Dose reference + a freebie 3rd check is always better than not.

Michael Adam Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 01:03 am new

Interesting how the anger is being directed at the tennis star and not the creeps running this embarrassing shit-show.

Michael Adam Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 01:04 am new

…that Australia has become.

AndyM Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 01:07 am new

Nah, people are furious at both the federal and NSW State governments.

I predict a big reaction at the polls.

truebluebasher Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 01:08 am new

Sorry for hogging Centre Court Guys!
Was reading Novak's Vax Exemption is essential...well, not strictly in the news... but it's legit.
Less so a physical disability but a reaction to the vaccination process.
His Exemption relates to Vax chemistry & what it would do to his body! Not Good!

https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/tennis/revealed-the-diet-that-saved…

Recall he used to crash 3 or 4 times a match & get cranky...all down to recombinant DNA Diet.
Not so the Diet but the GM process in the foods were crippling him ....
He stopped eating GM Recombinant Wheat / Dairy / Tomatoes & he became nicer & more healthy.
All the TGA approved Covid Vaxes are recombinant / DNA.

If Dan pushes Novak to Vax he'll collapse on the Court....without a lie!
If Novak eats a slice a GM bread...he'd freakout and go dizzy...
So this is the real deal & only a stupid player or Pollie would have a go at him...just saying!
All here know that this loose mouth bully shit plays into Novak's lap...let sleeping dogs lie!
If Novak is pushed to reveal...then AO and all around will look like jerks on the world stage!

Michael Adam Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 01:17 am new

Fair enough, if legit.

Supafreak Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 06:25 am new

“Here in Australia, we do not have that emergency that they have in the U.S.,” said Dr. Paul Kelly, acting chief medical officer. “The other thing that is different here in Australia is we have a very large and deliberately expanded laboratory network using the gold standard of PCR (polymerase chain reaction) testing. We have plenty of capacity there.” https://www.voanews.com/a/east-asia-pacific_us-fda-approves-australian-… 61110-CC5-F8-BA-4-A71-9198-BF1710721-A66

udo Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 06:44 am new

Kelly Slater - Vax Exemption...?

aaron61 Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 06:46 am new

6 months and the unvaxxed numbers will be rising again.

https://www.9news.com.au/world/coronavirus-update-we-cant-vaccinate-the…

Supafreak Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 06:58 am new

Geez blowin. there’s a few on here that are going to have kittens if they watch that tucker carlson report. Think it’s safe to say though that they won’t watch it , just bag it .

Roadkill Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:07 am new

Gotta love Tucker. He has a pretty funny commentary.

aaron61 Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:16 am new
Roadkill Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:18 am new

goofyfoot wrote:

“ You know what they say about someone that swears alot instead of using articulate words though eh? ;)”

They’re dumb cunts?

Lol.

Funny, BD immediately thought of himself. The truth hurts.

Roadkill Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:24 am new

Aahhh. Good old Australia does it again, Novak is on the way.

Supafreak Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:28 am new

I thought the link that TBB put on on Novak was good, isn’t he also covid recovered ?

shoredump Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:34 am new

Yeah he’s COVID recovered, and about to set a sporting record that should last generations by the looks of it

How’s this message from someone I know a couple days ago, a bit spooky

https://i.ibb.co/tPpSfpw/3277-F562-7-B22-42-D3-98-E2-B8-C7-B47-F7303.jpg
actress foch crossword

Blowin Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:46 am new

Totally coincidental that the developed world has started walking back the covid fear mongering simultaneously. Totally coincidental.

Robo Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 07:56 am new

goofyfoot wrote:

Wow bd, bit sensitive tonight?

It was a light hearted dig at VL because every second word is fucken , cun&@, stupid, loser blah blah blah.

But hey if you feel like being offended I’m not going to stop you.

Back at it lads! Carry on!

VL is one of those blokes that can't have a conversation without f this and c this, I have a Seppo next door the same, even in front of his Mrs and daughter and my Mrs, she can't stand him.

Robo Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 08:00 am new

burleigh wrote:

Great to see Novax Djokovic got an exemption to come to Aus. Hahahaha

VicMorons worst nightmare coming true, the dirty unvaccinated are coming to Vic

Unvaccinated should never have been banned, but it goes to show the corruption involved.

https://www.instagram.com/p/CYTe9fer_1K/?utm_medium=copy_link

Was always going to happen, it's been the same all along one rule for the rich and famous and one for the rest. The main steam media and pro vaxers will be blowing up today haha.
Watch out for Ray Hadley the 2GB shock jock he will probably have smoke coming out his head haha haha.

Supafreak Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 08:07 am new

Any ideas on why the increase ? Stress ? Depression? https://www.thecentersquare.com/indiana/indiana-life-insurance-ceo-says…

Blowin Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 08:21 am new
andy-mac Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 08:29 am new

Teachers get sack if not vaxxed, but ok for Novak.
Fucken joke!
One thing this pandemic has made clear is that there are 2 sets of rules for people depending on their wealth, power and connections...

blindboy Wednesday, 5 Jan 2022 at 08:28 am new

Old news Blowin. There was a big discussion about this around five years ago, before you developed your interest in amateur epidemiology. Do drug companies play games with their data? Absolutely, but now they get called out more frequently.
What they cannot fake is the data once a drug (or vaccine) is in wide use. In the case of the existing vaccines, the real world evidence is that the were highly effective against all the variants before omicron and retain some effectiveness against that also. Spit all the bile you like mate. It doesn't change reality.