More from Wax Off
truebluebasher said: Who requested the most despicable reverse hostile cross national sickly song about world's #1 arsehole!
Think tbb should first warn the…
World Music... oops, I mean, music that is perhaps unfamiliar to western listeners because it's from underrepresented places..61
blackers said: A song fer Sussan.
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title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay…
Tunes8,398
lucky-al said: Likewise, freeride76. Will call in next time I'm down your way.
Botany Nerds Ahoy2,639
seeds
said:
Oh shit yeah, I’ve been there a couple of times. Once on school camp and once as a adult 25 years younger than now.
Show us your photos
2812
seeds
said:
Opti said “Anyone who reads your past comments will easily see why you’re not worth engaging in conversation.”
No numbn
All Things Religion Thread
5463
Optimist
said:
Where I live now is perfect…..but I’ve had better in the past.
Where in AUS would you live in you could take your pick?
17
freeride76
said:
You're always going to run the risk of a big flatty busting you or biting you off on light gear and bait hooks.
I wou
Fishing tips
1149
Supafreak
said:
This guy has broken his back in 2 places plus other injuries but this horrific fall didn’t break his spirit, such a amaz
The MTB Thread
315
"Joe announces his run for a second term."
unbelievable.. kind of...
unbelievable there isn't a better alternative
unbelievable the democrats lack the self awareness to think this is ok
unbelievable joe thinks this is ok... or maybe not...
95 % of americans don't want a biden v trump rematch
yet here we are, seemingly walking straight into it...
something is seriously broken
democracy under attack they cry!
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imagine being a highly competent subordinate in the democrat machine...
gonna be a challenge to keep dissenting ducks in a row and pull of a basement biden version 2 i reckon
especially if old boy wobbles
(which he does anyway)
imagine being a moderate conservative in the GOP?
I think many in middle America feel very uncomfortable in both parties these days and unsafe in a lot of cities.
I never thought that much of Tucker just very cliche over the top USA style presentation.
But viewed him a bit differently after seeing this video a while back, handled this situation perfectly, obviously at first a bit defensive expecting the worst, but then once realises he doesnt even know who he is, he lets his guard down, just cool he is fly fishing in the city lake thing and ties his own flies too
Going to be interesting to see what he does next, another media company? Join the Daily wire? Or do his own thing podcast/Youtube?
If there was ever an opportunity for trump this is the one. Biden is a terrible and vulnerable candidate. Even those who support him will really question his old age and sanity. Another 6 years in charge? Trump looks like a young man next to him.
bit ageist flollo. Personally, I'd prefer elders in ceremonial leadership roles than young megalomaniacs. Leaders have been getting younger globally in past decades, and the world isn't improving. The longer the track-record a leader has, the more of an idea we have of how they have responded in different political climates and situations.
… more tucker box ;)
I agree, experience is critical. I’m not necessarily against specific age, I’m just not sure how healthy Biden truly is or will be during the next few years? Internet is full of him showing signs of very questionable health conditions. I know a lot of this is bullshit and propaganda but it will surely play on some people’s mind.
It's just mind boggling from both sides.
Democrats= An 80+ year old man with clear signs of ageing of the mind.
Republicans= The guy that lost last time and acted like a spoilt child when he lost.
You know what though while it seems crazy Trump could sneak a win. (not sure thats even a good thing)
1. The motivation for people to vote for Biden might not be there this time, seeing its not getting Trump out, but preventing him from getting back in, they might not think he has a chance and not bother voting.
2. Them continually going after Trump for anything and everything, might work in his favour.
But that said I dont know how even a lot of Democrats voters could vote for Trump after how he took the loss, to me it ruined any legacy he had.
If i was in the USA i would have voted for Trump the first time for the shake up factor, but i couldn't again not after how he acted when he lost.
I feel for Ron De Santis, it should be his turn Trump should be letting him have his time and supporting him, then Trump voters would vote for him and he has many fans himself and would also grab many fence sitters as ticks so many boxes, you would expect against Biden he would take it out easily.
If Trump runs i just hope De Santis can hang in there for next time and keep his popularity up.
Is it me but as much as Trumpy is the supreme Boofhead in Chief the world seemed to be more peaceful and economically seemed to be powering along when he was in. That's despite what the MSM would have you believe.
Since Biden economically the world seems to be tanking and it seems we're closer to war than we ever have been?
I think Biden for next win, if he's up to it. Of note is that he's basically continued Trumps foreign and trade policies as well as the military pivot (started Obama in 2013 I think) - so nothing has changed for the way the US ship of State has been turning. It's been a realisation of a growing threat, and that the kumbaya globalisation is receding.
They are also reindustrialising hard - the America COMPETES act, the discussions with Intel to get them back on Moore's law, the incentives for tech to set up and thrive there, relocating some TSMC plants (Hello Australia, are you even thinking of reindustrialising?). Separate supply chains and processing paths for rare earth and battery metals, hydrogen etc etc
But yeah, that 'Trump and the Risk of War' thread didn't age well...
That is part of his propaganda machine. There's a video of him talking about how he is the only president that didn't start a war in the 21st century. Is he wrong about it? Technically, no. Considering the times this actually feels appealing. Biden is clearly trigger-happy.
Top of the pops ;)
- musings of a concerned US citizen …
Whilst the empire creates peace and goodwill across the globe, decay sets in within the homeland:
Retailers abandon downtown San Francisco
one store's example:
-Workers routinely threatened with weapons.
-568 emergency calls to store over the course of 13 months.
-Chaotic scenes of fights, food throwing, and yelling.
-Stores closes
30% of offices vacant
- workers tired of dodging poop on walk to work.
- safer to work from home of move cities.
I found this contextualised California's strengths and problems well frog, same guy as VJ's Vail ski-town vid..
Jelly Flater that video is pretty representative of the Global South's psych and mindset on its relationships with the US vs with China. The US and West more generally has badly burnt most of its bridges in most of the Global South and Middle East (and parts of Asia) due to all the reasons and more mentioned in the video.
While I'm at it, for those interested, the below is what I think are some of the cleanest, clearest recent statements of what the US wants the world to believe when it comes to China, and what's driving geopolitics on this planet including AUKUS. It's from some of the most preeminent and influential think tanks.
In a nutshell, supposedly the West is facing the most serious and unprecedented existential threat to its very survival that it has ever faced, that the very founding values and principals of Western civilisation are at risk. Conservative US think tanks are particularly hellbent on it all since the most central, important and originally unifying founding tenet of Western civilisation - European Christendom - is of course supposedly directly at threat.
It seems to me to be completely insane pathological US-centric delusions of grandeur combined with a deranged US-glorifying fabrication of modern history and ignorance/misread of Chinese history combined with China-threat hyperventilation gone haywire combined with dollar signs ringing in the eyes of the US military-industrial-media-govt-thinktank ecosystem, etc, all within an Anglosphere thought bubble and groupthink that is being swallowed hook line and sinker by a gullible population and captured non-US governments unable to stand up to the US, but of course the reader can decide for themselves.
Winning the New Cold War: A Plan for Countering China
An information strategy for the United States
The President Can’t Counter China on His Own
The opening statement of this last link (Hudson Institute):
"There is a growing bipartisan awareness in the United States that the totalitarian global ambitions of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) make it the most dangerous threat the free world has faced since the Cold War, and perhaps ever."
And from the Heritage Society material:
"The Chinese Communist Party is the most persistent and consequential threat facing the American people today. Our homeland is not secure, and the consequences for Americans will be severe if our country does not soon take action."
This is what we've signed up to with AUKUS.
I personally think "the most persistent and consequential threat facing the" Australian people today is being part of this madness. It frightens me.
Phew .... sort of unfixable (California's problems).
... although many issues would be fixable if a fraction of the effort, political energy and money spent on the military and meddling in other countries affairs and poorly conceived and clumsily executed wars was spent on sorting out such problems in the homeland.
i reckon frog. ...their relentless need to create an 'other' to unite themselves..
(always worth a re-watch)
Quite the statistic:
"the average [US] taxpayer spends $1,087 per year on weapons contractors compared to $270 for K-12 education and just $6 for renewable energy"
I highly recommend the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and their magazine Responsible Statecraft. One of the very few reputable US think tanks not in full blown hardline pro-US pro-war mode.
"Countering the modern-day military-industrial complex would mean dislodging each of the major pillars undergirding its power and influence. That would involve campaign-finance reform; curbing the revolving door between the weapons industry and government; shedding more light on its funding of political campaigns, think tanks, and Hollywood; and prioritizing investments in the jobs of the future in green technology and public health instead of piling up ever more weapons systems. Most important of all, perhaps, a broad-based public education campaign is needed to promote more realistic views of the challenge posed by China and to counter the current climate of fear that serves the interests of the Pentagon and the giant weapons contractors at the expense of the safety and security of the rest of us."
There's a glimmer of hope there, and deffo "no small undertaking".
But I don't have much faith in anything changing anytime soon.
I mean us Australians must be inwardly cheering as we look forward to spending of $300b plus on some submarines...
I reckon old Ike Eisenhower would be rolling in his grave.
‘War is a racket’.
- General Smedley Butler, 1935…
Nothing too much has changed
… the soundtrack maybe more so ;);)
NATO, the US and neocons .... Champions of peace, truth and justice or a hammer looking for a nail?
https://ronpaulinstitute.org/archives/featured-articles/2023/may/08/nato…
Ukraine's is getting boring and awkward for the heroic Think Tankers so China is next ....
A sad track record over decades. Nothing like a Top Gun movie. But somehow they plough on regardless.
T42 Home Brew > 10,000/day comin' thru...
2022 ~ 2.76m US illegals breaking record by 1m
11 May 2023 ~ 27,000 in custody reserved for several thousand max.
11-13,000 daily with 150,000 on their way.
Joe's Polls dropping to 36%...(Say Hello to the crew Zombie Prez)
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/mess-americans-grade-biden-poll-shows-…
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/immigration/migrant-border-crossings-f…
GI Joe failed to stall T42 reopen so had WHO call an end to legitimise his failed open date.
Joe wanted to buy a further 2 weeks to get his shit together...(Has plenty of time for other shit!)
Joe is pushin' for Court to buy [L] style transient 1st cross border > 3rd Country Asylum
Stone Garden or Joe's Stoner Garden
( Joe can now align all his border patrol at just 130m apart across whole US.)
Yep! They could see & hear each other...Joe has officially assembled a Human US Border Wall.
Joe's Stoner Garden Human wall is fast approaching 100,000 foot soldiers.
Joe's US Border : 60,000 Staff / 20,000 Agents / 10,000 National Guard /1,500 Troops / 1,120 Police
https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-politics/texas-border-agents-title-42/
Rudy Giuliani hit with bombshell rape lawsuit; ex-staffer says he demanded oral sex while he took calls from Trump https://www.businessinsider.com/giuliani-demanded-staffer-oral-sex-duri…. https://www.businessinsider.com/rudy-giuliani-took-viagra-constantly-de…
I know this is wishful thinking but it would be amazing if Biden’s decision to not join the quad meeting here was symbolic of a major turning point in the history of human civilisation, at which the US decides to step back from the precipice of war and changes course to look inwards at its own problems:
Instead of continuing to go down the path of rallying as many countries and military blocs that it can in support of it going to war with China, the US instead decides to look at itself in the mirror and focus on fixing the long and growing list of internal political, economic and social etc problems it is facing.
I think the world would be much better off that way and 90% of the planet’s population and countries would breath a massive sigh of relief that they don’t have to choose between the wrath of an angry USA hellbent on punishing and destroying the economies and toppling the governments of all those who defy it, vs, joining the US in going to war with China (actually more like fighting China for the US).
Biden’s absence is more likely the fact the dude is in bad shape - being unable to string a sentence together is one thing, but travelling on a schedule taking you to the other side of the world is something obviously getting well beyond him.
I hope the wishful thinking is correct ;)
… the summary is spot on.
- as long as we remain a US /UK vassal state, though, then there is no real reason for brandon to visit anyway…
It’s all propaganda and tokenism - yet it wasn’t too long ago he referred to our then pm as ‘that fella down under’ (which was an unintentional but accurate assessment of the public acknowledgment sco mo deserved) …and our new bloke is probly just ‘that other fella down under’.
Anyway… whoever is our pm is down under the desk and following orders ;)
- but, you never know, US leaders are often busy chasing a free feed ;)
And the white house is prone to putting on quite the banquet…
Albo : "D' Prez will be exhuming tbb's sarcophagus to liven up the Kama Sutra Harbour Cruise!"
MSM : "Unearthed Sarcophagus Rental Crisis!"
Experts : "Dig yerself a deeper hole!"
tbb : "Core Meltdown!"
2016 Vice Prez Joe's Oz Quad wrangle
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/577555654/photo/united-states-vice-pre…
Joe : "Travelling 17,000 miles as Vice Prez & I know that as a fact!"
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/576817646/photo/united-states-vice-pre…
Waving to some random Fellow from Down Under!
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/576816770/photo/united-states-vice-pre…
Some loser ALP Leader out polled Albo to pull punches with Joe...Bugger!
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/577296564/photo/australia-us-diplomacy…
Oz Parliament Sacred Gift Ceremony (Ouch!) > Prez sues AFL for Historic Head Concussion.
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/576686454/photo/united-states-vice-pre…
Girls Gone Wild Harbour Cruise "Happy Birthday Mr President!"
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/577567860/photo/australia-us-diplomacy…
Narrow escape from another Oz Chaser terrorist incident.
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/576703942/photo/united-states-vice-pre…
Must visit here again one day...where are we?
https://media.gettyimages.com/id/576852510/photo/united-states-vice-pre…
Biden won't be there as he has a small fire to put out in the how to fund government department...
Say you are about to run out of money, but you can magically create a new limit of money to have; only if you get everyone to agree but they love being disagreeable and you need to sort them out - what do you do?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/16/us-and-micronesia-to-rene…
Totally aside from the topic, but it really irks me how The Guardian turns acronyms into proper nouns. They write NASA as Nasa, AUKUS as Aukus, and in this instance COFA - the Compact of Free Association, note the capitals - as Cofa.
Terrible habit. Bad enough to stop me from subscribing.
You’re not on your Pat Malone Stu.
It’s an even worse habit than taking away hyphens and ending up with messes of words like “coexist” or “cooperate”.
'one who coaxes' + 'a meal good enough for a barrel-maker'
"Trump has successfully fertilised and harvested the discontent that has resulted from decades of growing inequality and unfairness, and is still doing it."
ol' al says this like its a bad thing...
that was definitely not his finest work
al not trump
"Dennis1 DAY AGO
No mention here of massive corruption in the Democratic Party and major bureaucracies and agencies of government. Nor of RFK Jr and his challenge to the demented and utterly corrupt Biden regime. Nor how both sides of US politics ratify obscene military spending to maintain a Neocon obsession with regime change wars and hegemony, even as the country sinks into third world poverty and social chaos. Trump is a symptom of decay not its cause. The military industrial espionage complex runs the country no matter which fool occupies the WH."
a good press club
never seen julian assange's missus talk before, was an interesting intro and chat
(seems the press club have never listened to her before either)
Powerful talk to some press and political allies and to many with influence who stayed silent for too long.
What about no submarine payments until Julian is released as leverage Albo?
https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.tiktok.com%2F%40bigdog…
A First Family to be proud of:
https://bidenlaptopmedia.com
Photos, emails, influence peddling info etc fortunately with genitals redacted ( but not crack pipes).
Fruit does not fall far from the tree.
So now all the cheer leaders for Taiwan sovereignty will now be supporting sovereignty for Cuba. Guess the Chinese navy just needs to start some freedom of navigation exercises around the coast of Cuba.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/08/china-cuba-base-florida-s…
and new rumour .... Russia to form SATO (South American Treaty Organisation) to counter US expansionism into South America. SATO will:
- set up military bases near Mexican border with US
- Train and equip Mexican drug cartel members to SATO standards
- Support proxy insurgencies along border regions
- have a longer term goal of decolonizing and liberating the 51 US states currently under the oppression of the dangerous dictator President Hunter Biden and so freeing up US resources for exploitation.
Media immediately denounces such dangerous provocative aggression.
Wonders never cease...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/roberts-kavanaugh-voting-rights-ac…
Chinese Navy already practice Freedom of Navigation in international waters - per UNCLOS - @andy. Off the coast of the US, Indonesia, Australia - everywhere!
It’s relatively uncontroversial. Except, apparently, when it applies to artificial islands in the Spratley and Paracel islands.
There is the annual breathless reporting of “Chinese spy ships” off Australia’s coast. But, they’re exercising their right. And we should be OK with that.
Cheers @etarip
Was just being glib....
But how will USA go with permanent Chinese presence in Cuba if report correct?
jp and tg
on mic, vlad1, vlad2, war, big bombs, the lobby disease, and a heap of stuff...
sorry jp, but well worth a watch
Has "positive thinking" and narrative shaping (propoganda) seriously weakened US military decision making?
General Petraeus describes the Russian Army as poorly trained, equipped and led and in contrast the Ukraine army is well trained and equipped to NATO standards. A pushover is implied.
Results suggest otherwise. The current counter offensive is making no progress and having big losses.
Wheras the reality of the Ukranian army is discussed here by instructors working closely with them.
https://warontherocks.com/2023/06/what-the-ukrainian-armed-forces-need-…
The obvious and predictable problems of brief, fragmented training in multiple very different countries on a host of different equipment types are emerging. This is compounded because the best and most able combat leaders probably died some time ago.
Has the US become so accustomed to spin and psyops that they can't distinguish reality from fiction? Do the leaders read the carefully controlled media messages their own spooks feed into the news cycle and somehow come to believe them?
In politics and economics spin creates disfunction but can seem like a big game with consequences that are hard to measure.
In war it does not work so well and is more than a little cruel for those putting their lives on the line.
Where are you getting your info on the counter offensive frog? If you want some recommendations, I’m happy to share.
Every single credible source I’ve had said that the Ukrainians will a. take significant casualties and b. that this is more likely to resemble the Kherson offensive than the Kharkiv one. They’re assaulting into prepared defensive lines. There will be an attritional phase to this offensive that will be ugly. (I mean, it’s all ugly…). It’s been going for about a week. Maybe too early to call it a failure?
The broader point you might consider is that the US, and the West actually OVER-ESTIMATED Russian conventional military capability for decades. It all looks good on paper but a lot of the units are hollow, the equipment is poor, some of the high-end stuff doesn’t do what it’s supposed to. They’ve been unable to establish air superiority. Their navy is effectively confined to stand off missile attacks. And they’re reliant on contracted military companies (Wagner) for sustained assault operations. And Ukrainian air defence is having a very high interception rate against continuous drone, cruise and ballistic missile attacks against infrastructure and cities.
They just seem to be unable put all of the capabilities they have together consistently, at least since the initial phase of the war. And even then, analysts were surprised at just how poor many (not all) of the formations were.
What has been apparent over the past 18 months is a reduction in the scale of efforts. They started with Combined Arms Armies manoeuvring, with their basic unit as the Battalion tactical group of about 500-1000 people each. Their key higher level formation now is a brigade staff but they’re basically unable to put any combined arms assaults together above platoon (~30 people), maybe on occasion, company (~100)level. That’s not what people expected from an Army that’s half a million men. That’s not the legacy that was bequeathed them by the soviets.
That WOTR article is great. It’s frank, it very accurately describes the fundamental challenges of modernizing the Ukrainian military, at both an organizational but more importantly a cultural level away from the Soviet model. They’re describing practical problems. It’s certainly not a description of failure. The Ukrainians have to fight differently to the Russians. They can’t win in a symmetrical contest.
In fact, I’d suggest that a longer view is that the success of the Ukrainians in resisting the Russian invasion in 2022 - when they were written off by everyone - can and should be put down to their modernization since 2014. This was mostly done with ex-Soviet equipment too. So, maybe the training has worked!
What did you think of the War on the Rocks report?
It appeared to describe what logic would predict from pulling newly recruited troops off to foreign countries giving them somewhat ad hoc training using a huge variety of equipment and then sending them straight to the front to join others trained differently in other countries.
Then stretched logistics on the ground under constant bombing of arms depots etc. Spare parts, supply lines, maintenance must all be under severe pressure.
If that is a recipe for comfortable superiority against a fully mobilised Russian army as Petraeus suggested I would be surprised.