COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster

Craig started the topic in Wednesday, 18 Mar 2020 at 07:44 pm

I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..

There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia

burleigh Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 03:45 pm new

Gotta say its fucking bat shit crazy that QLD is only letting in vaccinated people seeming that majority of people now carrying the virus are the vaccinated.

6 cases yesterday all fully vaccinated in QLD and i just saw another plane arrived with a positive case on board with some rows deemed as close contacts which means locked inside for them.

freeride76 Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 03:47 pm new

Blowin wrote:

Was it only yesterday that Freeride was saying he doesn’t understand the allegations of authoritarianism against the government?

Today there are hundreds of people who were on their way to Christmas holidays, now under house arrest for two weeks despite being fully vaccinated and testing negative for the virus.

If they leave quarantine they’ll be arrested. If they resist arrest they’ll be pepper sprayed and hand cuffed.

Totally not authoritarian.

nah, they let 'em all go after a test.
the people on the plane?

No more QR codes, so effectively no more contact tracing.

Unvax allowed back pretty much everywhere.

I focus Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 03:49 pm new

Blowin wrote:

Treat it like the flu.

Bloody flu.

"Tens of thousands on elective surgery waitlist after Delta wave"

https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/tens-of-thousands-on-elective-surge…

Blowin Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 03:51 pm new

burleigh wrote:

Gotta say its fucking bat shit crazy that QLD is only letting in vaccinated people seeming that majority of people now carrying the virus are the vaccinated.

6 cases yesterday all fully vaccinated in QLD and i just saw another plane arrived with a positive case on board with some rows deemed as close contacts which means locked inside for them.

Not sure why you are surprised?

The only reason NSW and VIC dropped their covid pass requirements was to cut red tape for the hundreds of thousands of highly skilled Uber delivery technicians who are commencing their arrival today. State governments don’t give a rat’s about restoring freedoms except for the freedom to import exploitable labour en mass.

burleigh Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 03:51 pm new

freeride76 wrote:

Was it only yesterday that Freeride was saying he doesn’t understand the allegations of authoritarianism against the government?

Today there are hundreds of people who were on their way to Christmas holidays, now under house arrest for two weeks despite being fully vaccinated and testing negative for the virus.

If they leave quarantine they’ll be arrested. If they resist arrest they’ll be pepper sprayed and hand cuffed.

Totally not authoritarian.

nah, they let 'em all go after a test.
the people on the plane?

No more QR codes, so effectively no more contact tracing.

Unvax allowed back pretty much everywhere.

So crazy, NSW have eased restriction while QLD are just getting started on the 17th.
We're countries within a country.

Roadkill Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 03:57 pm new

Blowin wrote:

Could you be anymore of a narcissist bloke?

You think that forcing a 5 year old kid to abandon years of their growing lives, separated from friends and taught to live in irrational fear so you can feel a bit safe in your irrational fear….you call that an “inconvenience”

Fuck bloke….you’re proper detached from reality. I’d call you the Mad King with your outrageous demands for sacrifice at your indulgence but I don’t think a king would live in a shitty duplex.

The argument has become someone home status?

Fuck blowin, you posted your home, which to me looked like an old shed with some shitty curbside pickup crap cluttering it up. Man, you are funny.

freeride76 Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 03:58 pm new

that makes no sense (to Burleigh).

Blowin Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 04:06 pm new

Roadkill wrote:

Could you be anymore of a narcissist bloke?

You think that forcing a 5 year old kid to abandon years of their growing lives, separated from friends and taught to live in irrational fear so you can feel a bit safe in your irrational fear….you call that an “inconvenience”

Fuck bloke….you’re proper detached from reality. I’d call you the Mad King with your outrageous demands for sacrifice at your indulgence but I don’t think a king would live in a shitty duplex.

The argument has become someone home status?

Fuck blowin, you posted your home, which to me looked like an old shed with some shitty curbside pickup crap cluttering it up. Man, you are funny.

I never denied I lived in an old shed. You should feel sorry for me. It’s a hard knocks life!

I’m sure your MAMIL palace is much more catalogue cutting edge….

Roadkill Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 04:15 pm new

Blowin wrote:

Could you be anymore of a narcissist bloke?

You think that forcing a 5 year old kid to abandon years of their growing lives, separated from friends and taught to live in irrational fear so you can feel a bit safe in your irrational fear….you call that an “inconvenience”

Fuck bloke….you’re proper detached from reality. I’d call you the Mad King with your outrageous demands for sacrifice at your indulgence but I don’t think a king would live in a shitty duplex.

The argument has become someone home status?

Fuck blowin, you posted your home, which to me looked like an old shed with some shitty curbside pickup crap cluttering it up. Man, you are funny.

I never denied I lived in an old shed. You should feel sorry for me. It’s a hard knocks life!

I’m sure your MAMIL palace is much more catalogue cutting edge….

So you judge a person based off where they live? Or the type of house they own?
That just makes you look like a bigger fuckwit than usual.

Blowin Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 04:41 pm new

No. I live in a shed remember. I’m the exact opposite of someone who judges others on their home. I haven’t lived in a house per se for over twenty years till I moved here. Tents, hotels, shacks, cars and dongas yes, houses no. Sometimes I’m amazed I live in my own abode with four solid walls.

I was just mentioning the unlikely fact of a king living in a duplex. You must know a few monarchs living in semi detached housing I guess.

Vic Local Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 04:40 pm new

Blowin wrote:

There’s political motivation to continue this nonsense unto infinity.

The only way to stop it is to simply not get tested…ever. No tests = no cases. Job done. Don’t ever check in either. It’s our only true democracy left.

Deny the machine it’s fuel.

blowin, laying down a pretty big claim for the biggest fuckwit on the planet.
How do you reckon that attitude would go down in a hospital dickhead? If a doctor didn't cave your thick skull in a patient probably would.
Only a complete and utter fuckwit thinks our democracy is threatened by covid testing and venue checkins. blowin you're a selfish, foolish, narcissist who is also a world class imbecile. I loathe you.

Blowin Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 04:43 pm new

The boomer outrage-O-meter hits the red zone!

Better ease up bloke or you’ll have to change your depends.

Blowin Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 05:11 pm new

At least 230,000 highly skilled Uber delivery technicians arriving by July 2022. The Australian government has said it literally wants as many immigrants as possible to come to Australia ASAP. The NSW service APP which contains the covid tracker doesn’t work unless you’ve got an Australian phone number which almost all of these people will not have.

And the government has sold the dropping of the QR code requirements as though it’s a recognition of their respect for the rights of Australians….lol.

Now the QLD Government has backflipped on house arrest for the healthy, negative testing double vaccinated innocent people it insisted on 24 hours ago as essential to health requirements.

It’s all about The Science and totally not politically motivated.

freeride76 Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 05:14 pm new

Yep, there goes the upwards pressure on wages.

burleigh Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 05:23 pm new

Vic Local wrote:

There’s political motivation to continue this nonsense unto infinity.

The only way to stop it is to simply not get tested…ever. No tests = no cases. Job done. Don’t ever check in either. It’s our only true democracy left.

Deny the machine it’s fuel.

blowin, laying down a pretty big claim for the biggest fuckwit on the planet.
How do you reckon that attitude would go down in a hospital dickhead? If a doctor didn't cave your thick skull in a patient probably would.
Only a complete and utter fuckwit thinks our democracy is threatened by covid testing and venue checkins. blowin you're a selfish, foolish, narcissist who is also a world class imbecile. I loathe you.

You're getting more angry by the day. Chill out VicMoron you'll have a heart attack.

I focus Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 05:31 pm new

freeride76 wrote:

Yep, there goes the upwards pressure on wages.

Yes, maybe not so in the West (short term at least) mandate for the mines and plenty up in arms (no jab) and walking... creating opportunities for others as they swap mines for higher salary's.

tubeshooter Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 06:08 pm new

In the couple of small retail outlets I visited today (nsw) no one was masked and all signage for QR codes etc were removed. It was quiet surreal.

burleigh Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 06:10 pm new

tubeshooter wrote:

In the couple of small retail outlets I visited today (nsw) no one was masked and all signage for QR codes etc were removed. It was quiet surreal.

That's great.

sypkan Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 06:18 pm new

burleigh wrote:

There’s political motivation to continue this nonsense unto infinity.

The only way to stop it is to simply not get tested…ever. No tests = no cases. Job done. Don’t ever check in either. It’s our only true democracy left.

Deny the machine it’s fuel.

blowin, laying down a pretty big claim for the biggest fuckwit on the planet.
How do you reckon that attitude would go down in a hospital dickhead? If a doctor didn't cave your thick skull in a patient probably would.
Only a complete and utter fuckwit thinks our democracy is threatened by covid testing and venue checkins. blowin you're a selfish, foolish, narcissist who is also a world class imbecile. I loathe you.

You're getting more angry by the day. Chill out VicMoron you'll have a heart attack.

yep, old mate's 24 month fetish is slipping away from him...

nice to see some positive comments (almost...) as some of the restrictions fall away... geez even rabid roadkill looked reasonable there for a moment...

but not vicmoron... his little power trip is slowly dismantling as common sense pervails...

and the silly coot just gets wilder, more irrational, and angrier

funny stuff

Supafreak Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 06:25 pm new

Update on Omicron border restrictions

On 15 December Australia’s Chief Medical Officer announced that Australia’s border measures introduced temporarily in response to the COVID-19 Omicron variant restricting travellers who have been in the 8 southern African countries have now ceased. https://www.smartraveller.gov.au/news-and-updates/update-omicron-border…

vladalotovodka Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 06:43 pm new

After read much friendly argue and call of funny name maybe is time for SN comrade go surf or is else Vlads happy time movie

freeride76 Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 06:38 pm new

"There’s political motivation to continue this nonsense unto infinity."

Do you still think this Blowin?

Honestly, to me, it seems the exact opposite.

the political reward will be to those who relax restrictions.

I think Scummo will base his re-election on this: return to normality.

Supafreak Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 07:05 pm new

WA to move NSW to 'extreme risk' COVID-19 border restrictions amid Omicron fears https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-12-15/wa-to-move-nsw-to-extreme-risk-a…

vladalotovodka Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 07:19 pm new

Old Russian proverb is understood by all leader eventually

Leader who double vodka ration not need cheat when count vote. Leader cut vodka ration need food taster.

blindboy Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 08:53 pm new

Who would have thunk it? Social media sites profit from anti-vax propaganda.

"Throughout the Covid pandemic we have made sacrifices to protect ourselves, those we love, and our communities. And yet, as the world responded to this threat, a subversive, established industry of anti-vaxxers has seen an opportunity to enrich themselves at the expense of public health.
This fifth column has operated in plain sight, publicly undermining our collective confidence in doctors, governments and medical science. Their confidence in openly promoting lies and false cures comes from years of impunity in which they were hosted on popular social media platforms, driving traffic and advertising dollars to Facebook, Instagram, Twitter and YouTube, while benefiting from the enormous reach those platforms gladly afforded them. It’s a mutually profitable arrangement -- our calculations value the audience of anti-vaxxers, now numbering above 62 million followers, to be worth up to $1.1 billion in annual revenue for Big Tech. The Anti-Vaxx Industry itself, as detailed in this report, boasts annual revenues of at least $35 million."

https://www.counterhate.com/_files/ugd/f4d9b9_13cbbbef105e459285ff21e94…

Stok Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 09:19 pm new

Social media is making this shit way worse - and those sucked down the rabbit holes (like old mate here) are being bombarded on a daily basis by highly targeted, conformationally biased media which the algorithm keeps spitting back at them.

The algorithms effectively know the users better than they know themselves - and these people love warm, comforting re-assurance that they're fighting the right fight. That they don't need to make small sacrifices for the greater good (i.e., get a f@#king vaccine!) - it's the 'greater good' that's wrong, not them.

Can anyone tell me how we fix this shit?

Vic Local Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 09:20 pm new

A good read about the grifters' plans going pear shaped.
I hope the anti vax scum lose their deposit.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/no-freedom-ball-for-kelly-pro-p…

AndyM Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 10:29 pm new

Jeez Stok, some things are obvious, you just gotta look deeper, man.

https://i.ibb.co/xD8q4nj/Screen-Shot-2021-12-15-at-10-28-03-pm.png

truebluebasher Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 11:08 pm new

2019 Pfizer donated $1.35m to 52 "Anti Gay US Pollies" Why?
Pfizer : "Coz they support Big Pharma!" (It's way too sciency! Crew wouldn't understand!)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dawnstaceyennis/2019/06/24/dont-let-that-r…
2020 reported similar...
Vax Companies / US Largest Chemists / UK NHS / Tech & Corps all advertising on Anti Vax Sites.
Lets face it...the only ones that bank off Big Pharma are Anti Vaxerz...(The Perfect Match!)
Anti vaxerz scream out Pfizer 100,000 x week (vs) Vaxerz know it's Taboo to speak of such evil!
MSM + Experts forbid all Vax News & censor all Vax data in Pleasantville!

1,000's of [Pfizer] Signs (With Correct Spelling...Huh!) Billboarding every City during peak Pandemic!
https://vaccinateourworld.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/MG_0347-1200x7…
https://www.wabe.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/ap21229665621155-74738e…
https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2021/12/12/05/51648057-10300821-Sydney_s_H…
Looks like Pfizer Worshiping more than protesting...does it not? Way of the World!

[CDC] Nerds now prove they're relevant to shareholders at board meetings...(Wow! That's so Badass!)
https://mediaproxy.salon.com/width/1200/https://media.salon.com/2021/05…

Reckon even [5G] now know what it means...Huh! ...probably doubled their Shares!
https://cdn.i-scmp.com/sites/default/files/d8/images/methode/2019/09/22…

bluediamond Wednesday, 15 Dec 2021 at 11:27 pm new

Great stuff TBB.

goofyfoot Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 06:08 am new

Stok wrote:

Social media is making this shit way worse - and those sucked down the rabbit holes (like old mate here) are being bombarded on a daily basis by highly targeted, conformationally biased media which the algorithm keeps spitting back at them.

The algorithms effectively know the users better than they know themselves - and these people love warm, comforting re-assurance that they're fighting the right fight. That they don't need to make small sacrifices for the greater good (i.e., get a f@#king vaccine!) - it's the 'greater good' that's wrong, not them.

Can anyone tell me how we fix this shit?

https://www.instagram.com/p/CXdbn0YFCb1/?utm_medium=copy_link

He’s beyond help

goofyfoot Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 06:12 am new

https://www.instagram.com/eddiewearne/p/CW7toE_hO5T/?utm_medium=share_s…

Hope you’re all paying attention to what’s really happening
:-0

shoredump Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 06:52 am new

Alcohol is poison

indo-dreaming Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 07:47 am new

goofyfoot wrote:

How many people world wide have died from Omicron?

It's a real good question id love to know the answer, google comes up with little.

I know quite a few have died in South Africa but most were in hospital for other issues and dont know age's, at least one in UK.

But let's also remember people die everyday of may things you would not expect.

I wish they would be much more transparent about deaths, age, other medical conditions, weight etc

blindboy Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 07:56 am new

Stupidity alone has killed hundreds of thousands during the pandemic. "Here's an injection that could save you life"
"No way I am taking that poison!"
Last words
"Gimme (choke choke choke) the jab"

indo-dreaming Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 08:15 am new

Blowin wrote:

No. I live in a shed remember. I’m the exact opposite of someone who judges others on their home. I haven’t lived in a house per se for over twenty years till I moved here. Tents, hotels, shacks, cars and dongas yes, houses no. Sometimes I’m amazed I live in my own abode with four solid walls.

I was just mentioning the unlikely fact of a king living in a duplex. You must know a few monarchs living in semi detached housing I guess.

I loved your shed/shack set up you lived in especially the location, most people just live in houses in suburbs all there life's, some people sadly the same town all their life's

I think variety of life and life experience's is a good thing, living in a van or shed etc you also begin to understand how much(or little) you really do need to be happy and also helps you appreciate luxuries more when you do live back in a house with mod cons.

indo-dreaming Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 08:21 am new

freeride76 wrote:

"There’s political motivation to continue this nonsense unto infinity."

Do you still think this Blowin?

Honestly, to me, it seems the exact opposite.

the political reward will be to those who relax restrictions.

I think Scummo will base his re-election on this: return to normality.

100% agree, it's already happening and thank god for that.

Labor wont focus too much on this as its what people want, unless off course things go pear shaped and they will blame LNP for being too relaxed.

My biggest fear is this happens Labor get voted in and then have boxed themselves into a less relaxed Dan Andrews style approach and we are back in a 2020-21 situation, that would suck.

Vic Local Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 10:22 am new

In Victoria 7% of the adult population are unvaxxed and they make up 90% of Covid ICU admissions.
Why again should normal sensible people pay for the lifestyle choices of morons? Make them pay their covid hospital bills.

blindboy Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 11:12 am new

Vic quite honestly a lot of these people are just poorly educated and victims of politically driven propaganda and parasites earning good money for their bullshit via social media. Not to mention web sites (like this one) which derive some of their profits from anti-vaxxer traffic. They are victims and should have the same access to medical services as anyone else. If you doubt this look at the contributions from the committed anti-vax brigade here, it is illogical, semi-literate drivel.

truebluebasher Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 11:18 am new

Essentially VIPs Flying High (Top 10 Covid Air Routes)
Total Airline Covid Loss $201 billion
Nov 2021 Vax pass Flights are down 27% on Pre Covid Nov 2019
Vax Rollout has infected 3x more & killed 2x as many...as pre Vax era 2020.
Highest Vaxed World is highly infectious (vs) Least vaxed world is least infected.
Mid Pandemic > VIP Air traffic spreads most infected regions & falling in least infected regions?

There must be a more pressing illicit exemption..."Oh! You mean that one!"...well durr tbb!

Top Ten Flying High Routes...
Sponsored by Syrian Meth 3x (2020-21) or 20x (2017-2021) partnered by Mutant Airways Dubai!
"Why does half the world need to fly outta Dubai!" ....Shh! We don't want the whole World to hear ya!

Nov 2021 ( VIP Essential Passenger List)
1.Dubai < (Meth Exemption) > Saudi Arabia (Riyadh) (240k)
2 Dubai < (Meth Exemption) > London (226k)
3 Egypt < (Meth Exemption) > Saudi Arabia (Jeddah)
4 New York < (Meth/Coke Exemption) > London (191k)
5 Dubai < (Meth Exemption) > Saudi Arabia (Jeddah)
6 Puerto Rico < (Coke/Spice Exemption) > Florida (160k)
7 Copenhagen < (Syrian Hash Exemption) > Oslo (152k)
8 Bahrain < (Meth Exemption) > Dubai
9 Egypt < (Meth Exemption) > Dubai
10 Taiwan < (Coke / Meth Gateway Exemption) > Hong Kong (132k)

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2021/12/9/visualising-the-global-air-…

indo-dreaming Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 11:23 am new

blindboy wrote:

Vic quite honestly a lot of these people are just poorly educated and victims of politically driven propaganda and parasites earning good money for their bullshit via social media. Not to mention web sites (like this one) which derive some of their profits from anti-vaxxer traffic. They are victims and should have the same access to medical services as anyone else. If you doubt this look at the contributions from the committed anti-vax brigade here, it is illogical, semi-literate drivel.

Thats a fair enough comment if you are only talking about anti vaxers.

But i don't think its a fair comment when talking about those opossed to vaccine mandates or when it comes to the debate of how far lockdowns should go and the restrictions on peoples human rights and civil liberties.

Blowin Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 11:25 am new

“ If you doubt this look at the contributions from the committed anti-vax brigade here, it is illogical, semi-literate drivel.”

You wish carnt.

blindboy Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 11:36 am new

You're not an anti-vaxxer mate. You've had your shots.

Blowin Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 12:18 pm new

Twitter has banned anyone claiming that the vaccinated can transmit covid. They’re not even pretending to respect facts anymore.

"We may apply labels to tweets that contain, for example… false or misleading claims that people who have received the vaccine can spread or shed the virus (or symptoms, or immunity) to unvaccinated people."

I guess the director of the CDC won’t be welcome anymore. Wait…..perhaps it’s misogyny? Whaddays reckon BB? Pretty funny how they won’t ban her for the lie in that clip* but they will ban her for the truth. Awesome.

https://twitter.com/ANTHONYBLOGAN/status/1444390327884947461?s=20

*She said the vaccines prevent serious illness and death. Complete and utter bullshit. This is the director of the CDC remember. Why the fuck would you still believe a single thing these clowns say?

blindboy Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 12:19 pm new

Anyone who uses Twitter for information about anything beyond the relative sizes of people's egos is likely to misinformed on more serious ways....but yeh it's stupid.

Blowin Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 12:36 pm new

What about anyone who listens to the CDC for stupid!

Or the MSM. How about this little beauty for an example of pharma peddling advertorial in its usual guise of insanely irrational fear mongering. This is not an exception, this is standard “shouting fire in a crowded theatre” to get everyone jabbed. It’s fuvking criminal and the only reason fuckers aren’t going to gaol over it is because it’s state sanctioned.

Just remember when you are reading this headline that omicron is so new that experts claim they can’t yet confirm if the illness itself is mild or not. Yet somehow, through the magic of propaganda, they know the future outcomes and guess what they’ll be like …..you know what’s coming…..horrific! Catastrophic!

FFS.

People lap this shit up. We really need those gallows….

https://inews.co.uk/news/science/omicron-variant-wave-long-covid-childr…

Vic Local Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 12:51 pm new

blindboy wrote:

Vic quite honestly a lot of these people are just poorly educated and victims of politically driven propaganda and parasites earning good money for their bullshit via social media. Not to mention web sites (like this one) which derive some of their profits from anti-vaxxer traffic. They are victims and should have the same access to medical services as anyone else. If you doubt this look at the contributions from the committed anti-vax brigade here, it is illogical, semi-literate drivel.

this is so true blindboy, That's why I have such a strong contempt for the carnival barkers making a buck off the mob. This include scumo who is dog whistling to the freedumb clowns on a daily basis.
I still don't think sensible people should be subsidising the medical care of fools though. Anti-vaxxers should be paying a premium for health insurance that reflects their risk profile.

Blowin Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 12:54 pm new

Yeah, interesting comment. An obviously well considered opinion.

Lol

Vic Local Thursday, 16 Dec 2021 at 12:54 pm new

"We really need those gallows…."
OK Stu, Ben and Craig.
I think it's time to pull the pin on blowin for good. Having this utter clown promoting violence on your site really isn't a good look.